Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 7.262403 8.046420 8.922020 9.980950 11.238627 12.699756 14.548411
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.997011 7.007683 8.233953 9.863646 12.024986 14.875310 19.072512
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.208406 6.287295 7.666000 9.615469 12.407218 16.453249 23.191150
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.722742 5.845238 7.338987 9.559810 12.953168 18.302397 28.325762
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.356633 5.501520 7.076234 9.518072 13.465526 20.184114 34.313687
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.142561 5.333448 7.025079 9.761124 14.450166 23.123771 44.002482
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.814452 4.969138 6.642119 9.420436 14.364645 24.036251 49.694333
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.533561 4.648181 6.289910 9.077831 14.202809 24.738991 55.365703
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.321589 4.411270 6.042597 8.875484 14.258703 25.920222 63.452165
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.167689 4.248985 5.895646 8.824024 14.592785 27.844882 76.032456
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.152057 4.293605 6.078936 9.376235 16.265235 33.761380 113.954111
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.085255 4.252744 6.116850 9.664494 17.442221 38.985775 163.172474
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.928457 4.069105 5.916210 9.505166 17.646369 41.691296 209.637394
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.788472 3.905619 5.740361 9.380987 17.935633 45.004917 283.844408
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.645355 3.727814 5.524949 9.149618 17.907559 47.232591 369.278113
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.542442 3.609365 5.404240 9.097860 18.340063 51.652782 562.874669
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.450381 3.503095 5.296451 9.059084 18.803151 56.682821 947.735168
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.401539 3.465893 5.310318 9.284779 20.089296 67.104515 2855.466596
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.286296 3.309590 5.092641 8.968362 19.675365 68.122621 4688.658499
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.178834 3.161889 4.882596 8.649756 19.197438 68.538527 8060.826020
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.094875 3.050927 4.735295 8.461386 19.100452 71.408011 29475.388491
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.033423 2.976096 4.651966 8.413458 19.455968 77.863437 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.039724 3.019371 4.797698 8.927281 21.888880 104.788237 NaN